Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. New York: Free Press, 1992. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Another Century of War? War is inevitable. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. This is the real war. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Its TERRORISM people. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. In 1913 Western Europe accounted for 14.6 percent (%) of the worlds population. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. Strategically, Washingtons reliability as a security guarantor is the core of the issue. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. they wont need to invade, they will own us. Updated at 01.00 EST November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. I mightily admire Peter Singer however if you take a look internationally things are moving in a crazy variety of directions all at once. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Dear Jaquie, please define what you consider to be statesmanship. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. From this point it is obvious that if China were able to establish a greater military presence in Indonesia exercising control over Australia would be more able to be achieved although this would more likely be the strangulation of access to shipping- and air-traffic in the region, regardless of whether it is military or mercantile, as this tactic would essentially render Australia fiscally and militarily decapitated in the region. As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. God help our descendents. Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Your email address will not be published. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. [10] Angus Madisson. Over 90 per cent of the countrys population is spread along coastal areas, with a majority concentrated in a number of urban hubs located on the Pacific, Southern and Indian Ocean sides of the country. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. If a more solid outcome and strategic footprint air- and sea-bases in Indonesia is enabled by the PRC beyond the current military outposts of Pakistan and Myanmar the danger/s for Australia exponentially increase and an invasion would be more likely. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. (Defence Department: Leading Seaman Daniel Goodman) 'War would impoverish us all' Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. particularly June Bullivant. And that was when I was a child !! Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. Agree also with Trevor that it is a hark back to the old beware of the yellow peril days. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. What the hell have we done? In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. China to INVADE Australia? Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. Just buy the bastards and their debt out. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. Despite its massive standing force, including noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, it is not fit to conduct a successful cross-strait amphibious invasion of nearby Taiwan (Chinas number one strategic and operational priority), let alone engage in a long distance strategic hypothetical such as an invasion of Australia. Something went wrong, please try again later. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. A sad state of affairs. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. Whoops that cant be right. What am I missing? Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. 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